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According to a leaked marketing survey, three images are in contention to be the box art for Square Enix's recently revealed Hitman: Absolution.


Apparently, these pieces were created before the official subtitle was decided, because they all say  "Subtitle" instead of "Absolution." I should also point out that all of the covers have the PEGI rating (basically the European ESRB), so we may never see these designs on our shores.


I've posted my favorite of the images below, but you check out the other two over at Kotaku.



(Source: Kotaku)

The Moon's surface is thought to be covered almost everywhere by a layer of regolith. Regolith is a term meaning soil produced by weathering of local rock. On the Moon weathering is mostly caused by impacts, both large and small. In fact the smaller impacts, micrometeorite impacts, produce most of the upper portion of the regolith. An abundance of super fine and unconsolidated grains are produced by the astounding number of micro-impacts that have occurred over the past 4 billion years. In addition to rocks breaking apart into finer and finer fractions, over time space weathering makes rocks darker and redder. This effect is especially noticeable around steep surfaces where unweathered material slides down and stands in high contrast with its surroundings.

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Katie Couric Signs Off &#39;CBS Evening <b>News</b>&#39; – Deadline.com

Below is video of Katie Couric's final minutes as anchor of CBS Evening News. Her last broadcast was today. There is speculation that Couric has reached a deal with ABC for a syndicated talk show, which CBS had the right to match. ...

The Conversation, the startup Australian <b>news</b> site, wants to bring <b>...</b>

What would happen if you had close to 1000 academics available to contribute to the breaking news cycle? Would it change the course, and the discourse, of news? Andrew Jaspan thinks it will. Jaspan, formerly an editor at The Age, ...

State Dept. blocks access to indie <b>news</b> sites — RT

A week after the US State Department announced plans to spend millions to increase access to restricted Websites in China, its being made public that they themselves are restricting access to certain news sites in America.

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<b>News</b> And Notes From Day 3 Of Lions Workouts - Pride Of Detroit

Detroit Lions players continued working out on Wednesday as a team on an unofficial basis.

autosport.com - F1 <b>News</b>: Teams get reprieve over blown diffusers

Formula 1 teams have been given a reprieve to continue using blown diffusers freely from this weekend's Spanish Grand Prix, AUTOSPORT can reveal, after the FIA had a rethink about going ahead with a major change to the regulations.

TaxProf Blog: Tax <b>News</b> Roundup

TaxProf Blog provides resources, news, and information for law school tax professors. It is not affiliated with Auto Didactix LLC's TaxProf, a software-based tutorial for law students in the federal income tax course. ...

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8 Responses to “Did Watts’ surfacestations.org paper show that surface temperature trends are unreliable? No.”





  1. Peter Risdon Says:


    May 16, 2011 at 2:40 pm | Reply

    The paragraph you quoted from ends with this sentence:


    “According to the best-sited stations, the diurnal temperature range in the lower 48 states has no century-scale trend.”


    That was a surprise given the tenor of this post: “… maybe this is the end to questions as to whether surface temperature increases actually exist.”


    Did you mean that we can now say the answer to that is that surface temperature increases do not exist? Or that, pace Keenan in the WSJ, the data do not contain statistically significant trends?




    • andyrussell Says:


      May 16, 2011 at 2:58 pm | Reply

      I don’t think diurnal temperature range is very important. Do you?


      What’s more, the “century-scale” bit covers some interesting detail. Before Fall et al., it seems that the only work on diurnal temperature range showed a negative trend from the mid-century to 1980s-ish. What Fall et al. found was that this has increased again since the 1980s. So there’s no “century-scale trend”.


      But that tells you very little about mean surface temperature trends.




      • Mark Says:


        May 17, 2011 at 10:45 pm

        I have heard it claimed that the reduction in diurnal temperature range over the past few decades provides evidence that GHG increases are responsible for the warming. In that sense, some people think diurnal temperature range is important.


        Incidentally, I don’t think Fall et al. were the first to find that DTR has increased since the 1980s. I read a paper that said much the same thing a few years ago.


        Sorry for the lack of references to back up these statements. I’m a little too busy at the moment to chase them up.






    • Ben Says:


      May 16, 2011 at 4:49 pm | Reply

      So Peter… If the diurnal high and the diurnal low both rise by 1°C, you think this means there has been no warming? After-all, the diurnal range hasn’t changed! Others might draw a different conclusion.






  2. Peter Risdon Says:


    May 17, 2011 at 8:26 am | Reply

    I understand diurnal range has significance, and the relationship between day and night time temperature ranges is important, especially with regard to the period 1950 to 1980 when the effect of man-made global warming, it has been argued, was masked by a cooling but revealed by the changes in the relationship between these ranges.


    I further understand that this argument is based on the idea that human pollution caused this daytime cooling, that it affected the range of day time temperatures as well as the difference between night time temperatures which continued to show warming, and daytime ones that didn’t. This makes day time temperature range significant: if this is right it would be expected to show a variation that correlates with human activity.


    But this isn’t my field; I’m just reading what I can in an attempt to understand as much as possible about an important issue and, for me at least, that means reading Watts and reading this blog. Just searching out stuff you’re already disposed to accept isn’t good enough. My comment was prompted by what struck me as a somewhat partial quotation and exasperation: I’m with Feynman when he said you should point out the problems with a theory, not just the things that support it.


    [It's not really a "partial quotation" is it? That sentence you are interested in is stuck on the end of the abstract as a new paragraph and isn't really related to the 2 sentences I quote and which are related to the subject of this post. I'm not really interested in DTR and I doubt Watts was either. - AR]


    At least Watts invites people with different views to post on his blog and has been at the forefront of attempts to cross the ideological divide, not least with Judith Curry.


    Ben, of course you’re right. Andy, a century is an arbitrary scale, of course.


    I’d still be interested in your take on statistical significance.




    • JMurphy Says:


      May 17, 2011 at 12:05 pm | Reply

      In what way has Watts atempted to cross “the ideological divide” ?




    • Ben Says:


      May 17, 2011 at 3:16 pm | Reply

      Peter, I encourage a critical (i.e. thoughtful) reading of Anthony’s blog but my god do you really think he’s “at the forefront of attempts to cross the ideological divide”? Anthony has done more to harden denialist thought than anyone, with the possible exception Marc Morano.


      The “different views” he solicits are unthreatening fig-leaves.




    • andyrussell Says:


      May 17, 2011 at 3:24 pm | Reply

      I’ve got no problem with most of what Keenan says, although he’s not the first/only person to be saying these things. There’s a JoC paper from 2010 and it was one of the useful points to come out of the UEA email enquiries (i.e. working more with stats people). Not sure where the funding was supposed to come from for these new people though!


      I suppose the bigger problem comes down to climate science covering so much stuff – you can’t just look at problems from a stats/dynamics/modelling/chemistry/radiation/whatever perspective for too long before a) not getting very far or b) needing to doing something you’ve not done before.









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Bad <b>news</b>: Angry Hillary refuses to meet with useful idiot on North <b>...</b>

Bad news: Angry Hillary refuses to meet with useful idiot on North Korea.

When The <b>News</b> Went Online - David M. Ewalt - Metagamer - Forbes

The Geek Picture of the Day depicts the past and future of news. This July 9, 1980 photo depicts a copy of the Columbus Dispatch, and a computer terminal listing the Dispatch and Associated Press stories that could be read on the ...

Medvedev to hold major <b>news</b> conference — RT

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Republicans in California are on life support. Will they pull the plug themselves?



Last year, they lost all eight statewide offices for the second time in the last three general elections. While the GOP was cleaning up elsewhere in the country, they also lost a Republican Assembly seat, and failed to take out any Democrats in Congress or the state Senate. U.S. Sen. Barbara Boxer, always a top GOP target, beat her well-financed Republican adversary by 10 points -- the eighth straight loss for the Republicans in California U.S. Senate races.



How much lower can they go? Based on the 2010 census data, California Republicans probably have not hit bottom yet -- and if they're not careful, could go the way of the Whigs. And Democrats are not their biggest enemy. Demographics are.



Between 2000 and 2010, 29 -- fully half -- of California's 58 counties saw an eye-popping increase in their Latino populations of between 40.1 percent and 100 percent. Another 16 gained between 30.1 and 40 percent, and Latinos in seven counties increased between 20.1-30 percent. Only one county, the smallest of all, tiny Alpine with only a little more than 1,000 residents, actually lost Latinos over the last decade.



Of the 29 counties with the largest growth in Latinos, only three of them touch the coast, with the others being in inland California -- generally considered to be the most Republican-friendly part of the state. A majority of all Californians under the age of 18 -- future voters -- are now Latino. The California Department of Finance projects that as early as 2016 Latinos will replace Caucasians as the largest ethnic group. By 2040, Latinos are projected to constitute an absolute majority -- 52 percent -- of Californians.



In addition, while Latinos grew by 28 percent since 2000, Asian Americans increased by even more, 31 percent. At 38 and 13 percent, respectively, of California's population, Latinos and Asians combined are now for the first time a majority of the state. And blacks add another 6.2 percent, for a total minority population of nearly 60 percent.



Overlay this demographic data with the recent voting history and patterns of minority voters in the state, and you can get a sense of the dire dimensions of the Republicans' problems. In all presidential and gubernatorial elections in the Golden State since 1994, the average share of the Latino vote garnered by the Republican nominees was 25.3 percent.



In those same elections since '94, an average of only 37.7 percent of Asian American voters opted for the GOP candidate (and only Arnold Schwarzenegger broke the pattern, receiving a majority of Asian voters in his 2006 reelection). And, of course, forget blacks, who regularly vote 75-90 percent for the Democrat in statewide races (94 percent for Barack Obama in 2008).



In 1994, whites constituted 82 percent of the electorate, with Latinos at only 8 percent. In the 2006 general election, Caucasians comprised 75 percent and Latinos 12 percent. In 2010, whites were down to 62 percent, with Latinos hitting a historic high of 22 percent. Isn't the trend obvious to Republicans?



Meanwhile, back at the all-white Republican ranch, of the 19 California Republicans in Congress, 15 in the 40-member Senate and 28 in the 80-member Assembly, there are zero Latinos, zero Asian Americans and zero blacks. Historically speaking, this state of affairs not only represents backward movement, it also contains a number of ironies.



The first Hispanic ever to represent a state in Congress actually was a Republican from California, Romualdo Pacheco, elected in 1876. He also happened to be the first Hispanic ever to chair a standing congressional committee -- the Committee on Private Land Claims. But California Republicans haven't elected a Latino to Congress since Pacheco -- a drought of more than 130 years.



The first African American ever elected to the California Legislature was a Republican, Frederick Roberts of Los Angeles, who served from 1918-1933 and authored early civil rights legislation. There hasn't been a black Republican in the Legislature since.



In 1996, the first Republican Latino was elected to the Assembly in modern times. In 1998, three more gained office. The four of them started a first-ever Hispanic Republican Legislative Caucus. Then, from 2004-08, there was only one Republican Latino in the Assembly. Now there are none -- and obviously no caucus, either. The only Republican Latino ever to serve in the state Senate, Abel Maldonado, left that body in 2009 when Gov. Schwarzenegger appointed him lieutenant governor -- then lost in his attempt to be elected to the office last November.



As recently as 2008, there were three Republican Asian Americans serving in the Legislature. Now, there are none.



Another shocking statistic, if you're a Republican: of California's 58 counties, not one has a Republican majority of registered voters -- not even Orange County, historically regarded as one of the most Republican big counties in America (now just 43 percent Republican), or the conservative, rural "cow counties" just south of the Oregon border.



Although the Legislature engaged in a bipartisan conspiracy in 2001 to re-draw congressional and legislative district boundaries to protect the then-existing partisan control, Republicans also no longer have majorities of registered voters in any of the 53 congressional districts, the 40 Senate seats or 80 Assembly seats.



So what should California Republicans do to save themselves from themselves? I don't have a clue, but I do have some advice about what not to do. Newly elected Assemblyman Tim Donnelly, a Tea Party-affiliated nitwit (and white guy, of course), recently brought to California for a public event the state senator who sponsored Arizona's infamous SB 1070, and has been introducing anti-immigrant measure after measure.



Some conservative groups in the state are gearing up to put an Arizona-type anti-immigrant measure on the ballot in 2012. Shades of Proposition 187 in 1994, which turned Latinos against Republicans for probably two or three generations. Fully 78 percent of California Latino voters as of last November's election registered to vote since 1994.



And don't take just my view of it. In a Wall Street Journal piece on May 2, two respected California GOP strategists issued their own Cassandra-type warnings to their party. Hector Barajas (yes, I guess there must be at least one California Republican Latino!), who led Latino outreach for gubernatorial candidate Meg Whitman's campaign, warned his fellow party members that they risked "political suicide" if they didn't consider Latinos in crafting their campaigns. "Latinos don't like us very much," he averred to the Journal. Marty Wilson, who ran Carly Fiorina's U.S. Senate race, also cautioned Republicans to avoid anti-immigration rhetoric meant to stir up the party's nativist base.



Republicans, already down to an all-time historic low of only 30.9 percent of registered voters in the Golden State, are courting long-term political irrelevance and disaster if they fail to grasp the continuing emergence of the state's minority voting power.



If they don't want to or can't figure out how, it could be hasta la vista, baby.



Garry South is a longtime Democratic strategist and commentator.






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The big, and little, mortgage-fraud <b>news</b> | Felix Salmon

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The successful marketing mix includes a variety of strategies which are complicated and constantly changing. With the continuing improvement of technology on the web, new marketing skills have become just as integral to a solid marketing mix.


Let’s talk about four growing skills in marketing that really count.


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Social Media Management and Community Management


Social media was all the rage amongst marketers after it first came out, and beating the better judgment of some harsh critics, it’s really evolved and become an important part of the current day’s marketing industry. It’s about customer service, new distribution and even advertising, content strategy, and proactive listening.


Your customers have concerns and you want to hear them. Plus, you want to be able to positively react to those concerned voices and reiterate your business. You also have evangelists and listeners, who’d love to hear what you have to say, if you make it interesting, and if it’s exciting enough, they’ll tell a friend, or ten thousand friends.


Shapeways is a great example of a business doing social media and community management right. With a blog, forum, even live webcasts and attendance to some of the hottest events, they show they know how to communicate and connect with their audience of tens of thousands of co-creators, designers, and engineers.


Search Engine Optimization


The multi-billion dollar search industry led by Google spawned the incredibly complicated industry of search engine optimization. Outside of paid search, where businesses work to increase visibility through ads shown on search results for targeted keywords and where service providers help businesses to increase traffic and sales through strategic bidding, there’s organic search. Google effectively makes no revenue from organic search, but businesses are pouring sizable amounts of their marketing budget into managing search engine optimization.


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News broke earlier this week that Google had set aside $500,000 to settle a mysterious Department of Justice investigation of "advertising by certain advertisers," and now a report indicates the badvertisers were "rogue online pharmaceuticals."



The Wall Street Journal quotes unnamed sources in identifying the culprits, with Google and the DOJ refusing to comment on the matter.



The story says search engines can be held liable for advertising profits from illegal activity, referencing a 2007 incident in which Google, Microsoft and Yahoo paid fines totaling $31.5 million for accepting gambling site ads. Google has struggled for years over how to handle drug ads, moving in 2003 to ban ads for sites that sell certain drugs without prescriptions. The WSJ's sources say Google changed its pharmaceutical ads policy again last year after the DOJ began its investigation.



Google Near Deal in Drug Ad Crackdown [The Wall Street Journal via Engadget]







NEW YORK — Few Googlers understand the online advertising business as well as Susan Wojcicki.


After all, she’s been a a key leader on Google’s advertising products for almost a decade. Today, Wojcicki is senior vice president of advertising at Google responsible for the design and engineering of all of Google’s advertising products, including AdWords, AdSense, and DoubleClick.


In a conversation with Wired’s Steven Levy at the Wired Business Conference, Wojcicki touched on a number of topics, from the challenges of creating compelling display advertising to why she chose to make a commitment to stay at Google for the foreseeable future.


Wojcicki’s basic message? There is more work to be done, she said, borrowing a metaphor from the literary world — and teasing her interviewer. Asked by Levy why, with nothing in particular left to prove, she stays on the job, Wojcicki turned the tables. “Why did you write your book?” she asked Levy, a reference to newly-published In the Plex, an inside look at the place Wojcicki works.


“Google is fascinating,” Wojcicki relented, “and the book isn’t finished. I’m creating, living, building, and writing those chapters.”


In an interview with Wired.com prior to her appearance, Wojcicki outlined a few of her goals for Google’s advertising business over the next year.


“Even though search advertising works and we’ve had a lot of success, we think we can innovate a lot in that space,” Wojcicki said. “We’re always thinking about what the perfect ad is. And one of the things we’re realizing is that for certain segments of advertisers, we need different kinds of experiences.”


“So if you’re a retail vendor and you’re selling products, we want to include the pictures and the prices and be able to connect to the feed of your products,” she continued. “If you’re a movie company, we want to show a video in your ad, a trailer.”


Wojcicki described Google’s display ad business as a “very important” component of the company’s overall strategy and said the company is investing heavily in that area. She said the company is also “investing heavily” in contextual and audience targeting, as part of its display ad push.


Addressing another hot topic for Google, Levy asked whether “social” is in Google’s DNA, given the company’s stumbles in the social space, and the ascent of Facebook, which now dominates the social networking market.


Wojcicki didn’t mince words.


“People used to say that advertising wasn’t in Google’s DNA, and that’s obviously not true anymore,” Wojcicki said. “They used to say that display advertising isn’t in Google’s DNA, and that’s not true any more.”


Clearly, though, Google has yet to find a formula for social commensurate with its astonishing success in the online advertising market.


Full Coverage: Wired Business Conference: Disruptive By Design | 2011



As we reported a month ago, mobile ad network JumpTap has raised a round of new funding. The company confirmed this today, announcing a $25 million financing round from AllianceBernstein, General Catalyst, Redpoint Ventures, Summerhill Ventures, Valhalla Partners and WPP, as well as several new investors, who are not being disclosed. This brings the company’s funding to over $90 million.


JumpTap is one of the largest remaining independent mobile advertising networks, in addition to Millennial Media, 4INFO, InMobi and others (another remaining network Greystripe was just acquired). Jumptap’s data-driven technology promises highly targeted advertising and the company partners with digital and media agencies, publishers, wireless carriers and brand advertisers to serve an array of mobile advertising solutions.


Despite the heated competition in the mobile advertising space, JumpTap appears to be growing, both in terms of reach and employees. JumpTap says its network now reaches 83 million consumers, which is a 30 percent increase from last year. And the network has partnered with more than 10,000 sites and apps; received over 10 billion ad requests in April, and has over a dozen patents related to mobile ad technologies.


The company added 35 employees since the beginning of 2011 from companies including Apple, IAC, Time Inc, and Maxus. JumpTap also recently landed a deal with Tokyo-based cyber communications (cci).


George Bell, CEO of Jumptap said this in a statement: “Our focus on leading mobile innovation through technology and services underscores our long-term vision and commitment to delivering the best solutions for advertisers and publishers…We are well positioned to capitalize on the momentum in the mobile marketplace and continue to see impressive growth across all measures.”


The company says the new investment will be used towards product and technology development, and to hiring additional staff to support client demand.


As we reported a month ago, mobile ad network JumpTap has raised a round of new funding. The company confirmed this today, announcing a $25 million financing round from AllianceBernstein, General Catalyst, Redpoint Ventures, Summerhill Ventures, Valhalla Partners and WPP, as well as several new investors, who are not being disclosed. This brings the company’s funding to over $90 million.


JumpTap is one of the largest remaining independent mobile advertising networks, in addition to Millennial Media, Greystripe, InMobi and others. Jumptap’s data-driven technology promises highly targeted advertising and the company partners with digital and media agencies, publishers, wireless carriers and brand advertisers to serve an array of mobile advertising solutions.



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Official Google Blog: Expanding Google <b>News</b> for more variety and <b>...</b>

(Cross-posted from the Google News blog) Every day, Google News crawls through thousands of news articles to present you with the most relevant and recent stories. For a long time, we've realized that bringing relevant news to the ...

autosport.com - F1 <b>News</b>: Sutil to face criminal complaint

Force India driver Adrian Sutil is to face a criminal complaint for physical and grievous bodily harm from Eric Lux, CEO of Renault F1 team owners Genii Capital.

Former CBS <b>News</b> Producer Joseph Wershba Dies at 90 - TVNewser

Former CBS News producer Joseph Wershba,whose work with Edward R. Murrow helped expose Senator Joseph McCarthy's “Red Scare” investigations, has died at the age of 90. Wershba also served as one of the six original producers on CBS' ...



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Photo credit: Deаn Rutz/The Seattle Times
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